Drug Safety -A Billion Dollar Story                        Jonathan Peachey
            IBM Business                Consulting Services, Greenford, Middlesex (United Kingdom)
                
              In 1997, American Home Products (AHP) withdrew                its diet drugs Redux (dexfenfluramine) and Pondimin (fenfluramine)                from the market. Studies by the US Food and Drug Administration                (FDA) had linked the drugs, commonly known as Fenphen, to potentially                fatal heart valve damage and pulmonary hypertension. Six years                and one name change later, Wyeth is still struggling to shake off                the impact of Fenphen on its earnings (Source: Financial Times, “Drug                Companies Hit by Charges”, Oct. 23, 2003). Fenphen and other                high profile cases show that drug safety is not just a backroom                activity performed to satisfy the reporting requirements of the                regulators; it can have a major bearing on a company’s profit                and market capitalisation.
              Sanofi-Synthélabo learned the same thing with its anti-platelet              agent Plavix - in reverse. Clinical trials have shown that although              Plavix is only marginally more effective than aspirin in reducing              the risk of myocardial infarction, stroke and vascular death in patients              with atherosclerosis, it is less likely to cause gastrointestinal              bleeding. A better safety profile, as distinct from greater efficacy,              was enough to knock the cheap and cheerful aspirin off its perch,              and turn Plavix into a blockbuster - helping to boost the company’s              overall sales by 14.8 % in 2002.
              The cost of selling drugs with damaging side effects is considerable,              as are the rewards for making drugs that are safer than comparable              medications, even if they do not work any more effectively. Yet              many pharmaceutical companies continue to develop drugs that show              signs of causing serious side effects rather than spiking them at              an early stage in the clinical testing process. In doing so, they              waste millions of dollars, as well as potentially jeopardising the              lives of patients and their own reputations. With proper risk management              - the early detection an understanding of risk, and subsequent management              of that risk throughout the product lifecycle - it is possible both              to make drugs with an acceptable risk/benefit profile and to ensure            that those drugs are profitable.